Revision 02 (last paragraph) : updated on April 10, 2021.
Let’s talk about ILP. I had signed up one
ILP right after I got my first job in Singapore. It is from AIA, 100% into AIA
Acorns of Asia Fund, with a monthly cost of S$203.26. I can choose to continue
to pay this ILP up to 77 years (I will be age 101 by then), that is why I say ILP
payment is forever and ever.
Of course, you can choose to surrender anytime you want and I am going to do it
at around age 65 while it is at BULL market,
this is very important. If I see a super bull market at age 60, I will also
consider surrendering the policy too. I give myself a time horizon of at least
35 years. It has to be, at least, like the BULL market in year 2007. Let’s put it
that way, by then, STI shall be way above 5,000 points. Don’t you think so?
I just checked my fund surrender value today; it is S$26,135.43. Do I meet the projected return?
Revision 02 : updated on April 10, 2021
So, this ILP comes with S$100,000 life
insurance, S$100,000 critical illness benefit as well as S$90,000 TPD (Total
Permanent Disability). Take note, S$203.26 monthly with S$100,000 sum assured
if you sign up the package at age 23. If you sign up the package at the later
age, the sum assured will get lesser as well, vice versa. ILP is just like
stocks or I would say ETF, they take your money and invest in equities and you
can check the fund sheet and annual report to know the top 20 companies they
have invested. So, it makes perfect sense to do a monthly purchase to average
out the market volatility, you do not want to make a yearly premium in this
case as you might be really unlucky to
purchase during the “bull market” always.
ILP
has no GUARANTEE payout. In worst case scenario,
you might even loss money due to the poor fund performance. You will also incur
losses if you surrender the policy too early. The market term of breakeven is
always 7 years. How does my ILP fund
perform so far after 11 years? It is simply BORING.
The fund house is required to project the
return based on 5% and 9% during my time. I think the projected return
percentage was revised lower by MAS lately.I just checked my fund surrender value today; it is S$26,135.43. Do I meet the projected return?
Well, after 11 years of payment, their
projected 5% is S$25,000 and 9% is S$31,800. It seems like my fund performance hit
the high 5%. It sounds OK but is
this really the case?
The true amount I put it in is S$203.26 x 12 months x 11 years =
S$26,830.32. Where is the 5% gain here? If I sold it today and get back
S$26,135.43. I will still incur a loss
of S$694.89 after 11 years.
Okay, this is the problem. Not all the
monies, S$203.26, goes into the funds, it has administration charges as well.
As for my total cost per month is S$203.26 and I expect GAIN, not breakeven after considering all the fee charges. So, what
should I do now?
Here is the plan. The number will become
great if you surrender at the BULL
market; see the number at age 30 (above illustration table). The projected 9% is S$15,100 and
the surrender value is even higher at S$17,018 (sound like a 10% gain for me).
But again, is this really hitting 9% P.A. gain, you should work out the number
precisely when you consider surrendering the policy.
So, what should I do next? I won’t surrender
this ILP simply because I got it “cheap” at age 23 with sum assured of
S$100,000. At least I have additional S$100,000 insurance coverage here beside
my other health insurance. As I said, I am looking at 35 years horizon time
and I need to search/wait/catch a really cool BULL market and it shall and it will happen. By
then, hopefully, I will have some
meaningful gain; I would not know how many % (P.A.). It won’t be
great, so the only extra thing you have here is the extra S$100,000 insurance
coverage, that’s it.
Of course, if you really time the market
correctly with the right fund, for example, buying China fund last year and the
current value is almost 100% gain, but with ILP monthly purchase, you won’t see
crazy profits here too simply because your monthly payment has average out all
the volatility.
So, will my AIA Acorns of Asia fund doing
great in the next 25 years? You bet.
Will I get crazily good profits out of it?
No.
(Next I will talk about Endowment plan)
After 6 years, I finally see lights in the tunnel. :)
Based on the fund update on Feb 28, 2021, the top 5 equities holdings are now Taiwan Semiconductor manufacturing , Samsung Electronics, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba and HDFC Bank.
The AIA Acorns of Asia fund price also hit historically high at S$4+ level !
I will probably surrender this policy 25 years later when I am age 65 and only surrender the policy during the BULL market, for example, now in April 2021. That's when you reap the highest return of all.
No comments:
Post a Comment